Friday 23 December 2011

Putting In A Bottom?

AIG, Yingli Green Energy (YGE) and United Steel (X) looks to be putting in a bottom. Savvy investors/traders with the patience to wait should be coming in and putting their money on the sidelines to good use by now with the 3 stocks looking to be under accumulation.

Click on chart to enlarge (X)


 Click on chart to enlarge (AIG)


Click on chart to enlarge (YGE)





Thursday 15 December 2011

S&P500 (Target 1880pts) & Coca Cola Company

Bears have staked their claims on the bragging rights till the next short term support of the S&P500 index at 1880 points. Bears have pierced the bullish support at the 50 DMA and looks to advance deeply (lower) in no time.

Click on chart to enlarge (S&P500)


Even Warren Buffet's Coca Cola company, a very strong dividend play, looks to be topping out with its multiple top formed on the weekly chart. This leads me to believe that the stock markets have further room to fall and the drop will be very broad based. Check out its weekly and daily chart appended below.

Click on chart to enlarge (Weekly Chart - Coca Cola Co.)


Click on chart to enlarge (Daily Chart - Coca Cola Co.)




Wednesday 14 December 2011

Toppish Patterns - Get ready to ignite short positions

Things really change fast in the financial markets. As of close of 13 Dec 2011, it seems more likely that the markets are setting up for lower prices to come. Many leadership stocks are exhibiting toppish patterns and looks likely to roll over anytime. Tricky situation.

Click on chart to enlarge (Dow Jones Index)


Click on chart to enlarge (Apple Inc)


Click on chart to enlarge (LVS)


Click on chart to enlarge (CF)


Click on chart to enlarge (Chipotle Mexican Grill)


Get ready to ignite short positions!




Friday 2 December 2011

To go long or short? That is the question.

The huge move up by the S&P index formed an inverted H&S of sorts on the daily chart with the 200day resistance at 1265 pts creating resistance. Is this going to be a bullish call? I would want a clean break above the 200day MA to be long though. Is this a time to go long or place your short bets? It will be prudent to remain open-minded at this current moment.

Click on chart to enlarge (S&P 500)


United Steel (X) has formed an inverted H&S bullish pattern. The confirmation of this pattern will be break of the neckline. I would suppose traders would place tons of buy stop at slightly above the neckline, me included.


Bank of America - Double bottom?



Sunday 27 November 2011

Apple Inc. - As the leader goes, so goes the market?

Apple Inc. looks poised to test its 50day MA on the weekly chart this week. On the daily chart, Apple is in the midst of forming a potential H&S pattern. Price action had already broken its neckline and is now testing its last major support at the 200day MA.

Click to enlarge


On the weekly chart, Apple had a potential double top formation with spikes in volume. A break of the crucial $357 level which happens to be the neckline would see sellers coming in.

Click to enlarge

Thursday 17 November 2011

Market Sentiment Looking Increasingly Bearish - 17 Nov 2011

Ironically, I was harping on and on about the market being bullish for the past few weeks. Somehow, the charts are showing more footprints of sellers than buyers in this current moment. Being nimble and flexible is the key to survival. Go to cash or start looking for short-selling setups.


Click on chart to enlarge - Visa Inc


Click on chart to enlarge - US Steel Group


Click on chart to enlarge - Bank of America



Sunday 13 November 2011

Market Updates - Odds with the bulls

Both Dow Jones and S&P500 are still stuck in a symmetrical triangle pattern with a breakout on the cards soon. The odds are favouring the bulls as Dow Jones had already moved above its 200day MA. It is at this point in time that we must be flexible and trade the breakout on either direction of the move. I am currently on the bull side as my interpretation is that a mini bull run is on the cards towards the end of the year. However, we must remember that the market is designed to fool investors and traders alike. Flexibility in jumping from either camp is absolutely crucial. Be nimble.

Dow Jones Index


S&P500


Direxion Financial Bull ETF (FAS)



Tuesday 8 November 2011

As Bullish as it can gets

The charts are very bullish indeed. Look at the S&P index. It looks like its going to make a new high very soon as it bounce off the top of the Ichimoku Clouds and is now aiming to clear the 200 day MA in its second attempt. Will it succeed? A break of the 200day Ma could see the index moving higher in a powerful move.

Click on charts to enlarge (S&P500)


Click on charts to enlarge (United Steel)


Click on charts to enlarge (YGE)


Click on charts to enlarge (AIG)


Click on charts to enlarge (BAC)

Always trade with stop loss.

Wednesday 2 November 2011

Bias towards Bulls - Market Updates 2 Nov 2011

A pullback is inevitable after a strong run in recent weeks. Here is the support level for S&P500. Bias is to the upside if support at 1120 region holds. The bulls need a CLOSE above this level in order to resume the upside move.1273 region serves as strong resistance.

On the daily chart, the pullback or selling retraced all the way to the top of the Ichimoku Clouds after hitting the 200day MA. Top of Ichimoku Clouds served as strong support where buyers who missed the earlier rally up would hopefully pile in to support the prices.

S&P500 Daily Chart


S&P500 Weekly Chart

Friday 28 October 2011

Trading United Steel (X) using Multiple Time Frames

Dear Readers, United Steel looks like the next big cap stock to make a huge move. All the 'stars and planets' (multiple time frames) are now in line for a huge move as the weekly traders stepped into gear. Let's take a look at the multiple time frames.

United Steel (X) Weekly


United Steel (X) Daily Chart - Looking at the market sentiment, what are the odds of X breaking higher above its 50day MA? Very high chance.




United Steel (X) 60-min Chart - Price action resting after breaking out of its 60-min trading range over a period of 3 weeks. A powerful move is imminent. A breakout buy!


United Steel (X) 15-min Chart - Lastly, if you are trading a smaller time frame such as the 15-min chart and your chart is showing you an enormous gain; hold on to your stock. Reason: A higher time frame trader might be coming in to push the prices even higher. Just look at all the above higher time frames which I have posted above and you'll understand.
 

Trade them well ! Have a great weekend.



Wednesday 26 October 2011

BAC (Ascending triangle looks to move soon - 60min chart)

The 60 min chart of BAC looked poised to break to the upside with an ascending triangle formation. Meanwhile the daily chart is consolidating side ways as the coiled spring effect could make its move soon. The chart could also be interpreted as a H&S pattern if it breaks the trend line.


Change in trend - strong case for bulls (S&P500 weekly chart)

The obvious fact is that we are seeing the S&P500 index holding its long term support of 1139pts successfully 3 weeks back on the weekly chart




Moving down to the daily chart, we are seeing a change in character, or rather change in trend when the S&P500 broke out of its trading range, signaling that the Aug/Sep bottom would hold.



Adding to the strong case for the bulls, the Baltic Dry Index widely considered as the purest form of economic indicator, is already on the move, breaking out of its trading range back in Aug/Sep.

The Baltic Dry Index provides an assessment of the price of moving the major raw materials by sea and is known to be one of the purest form of economic indicator in the sense that only member companies who have actual cargo/ships are allowed to trade in this index with no speculative players involved at all.




Monday 24 October 2011

Wyckoff Method of Technical Analysis - BAC (Oct 2011)

Dear Readers, I was looking for signs of accumulation for the stock of Bank of Amercia (BAC) and decided to apply Richard Wyckoff's method of techinical analysis to the chart pattern of BAC.

BAC could possibly be at the stage where it is preparing to make the jump across the 'creek' a.k.a major resistance OR a failure to make the jump could see it coming down to the $6 or even $5-plus region for a retest of the support.




I came to know of Wyckoff's method of technical analysis when I came across "The Three Skills of Top Trading" by Hank Pruden whereby the Wyckoff schematics of accumulation and distribution were covered extensively by the author. Fantastic read! This book is a must read !

Abbreviations used:

Selling Climax (SC): the point at which widening spread and selling pressure (high volume) usually climaxes and panicky selling by public is absorbed by professional interest at prices near bottom.

Automatic Rally (AR): Relief rally where short-covering can easily cost prices to shoot up

Secondary Test (ST): A retest of the area of selling climax to test the supply and demand at these levels. For a bottom to be found, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as market approaches
support.

Spring: Also known as a shakeout.

Sign of Strength (SOS): Advance on high volume and price spread

Last Point of Support (LPS): The ending point of a reaction or pullback where support was met, also known as a retest of support where long position can be initiated or to add to profitable ones.


Have a good weekend!


Thursday 20 October 2011

Market Going Sideways - Ready for Bullish Breakout Or Not

S&P 500 is now just below its Ichimoku Clouds. The mere fact that it has not bounce off the resistance and moved lower is perhaps good news for the bulls. The index is now just hugging below the resistance line and if it breaks out of the Cloud, look for it to hit at least the 200 day MA at 1275pts. There are also some positive indication from the Ichimoku Cloud trading overlay that are of favorable to the bulls. If the market favor the bulls, we could see some upside next week.

S&P500


Bank of America




Saturday 15 October 2011

Market updates for week ending 14 Oct 2011

S&P500 rallied and closed just at its major resistance on Friday. We could be seeing a slight pullback for the next few days to 'retest' the resistance-turned-support for S&P500 at the 1185 area. If we could hold the 1185 level, the market could turn bullish into the weeks ahead.

S&P500 Daily Chart


S&P500 Weekly Chart


MGM


BAC



Thursday 13 October 2011

Possible Change in Trend

What a week it was! The major indices broke out of their descending triangle and went on a tremendous breathtaking rally before facing a near term resistance. Somehow, the trend looked like it is changing slowly from bearish to bullish. Stocks looks to be bottoming especially with a Right Angled Broadening formation spotted on the DJ Transportation Average. We'll have to be patient and wait for the breakout higher before placing any long bets. Nonetheless, the higher time frame bullish players are already moving in as the weekly charts of stocks are looking to form bullish reversals.

S&P500


Dow Jones Transportation Average


Bank of Ameria


Goldman Sachs

Sunday 9 October 2011

Capitulation... It Is Not

What looked like capitulation of the stock market on Tuesday 4 Oct 2011 might not be one after all. On Tuesday, stock prices reversed their intraday loss to finish green on extreme high volume. However, it might all comes to nothing when prices of bank stocks were stopped at their near term resistance on Friday.

We could be seeing lower prices to come. If you are a long only investor, you would be better of in a cash position.

BAC



JPM


S&P500 - Trapped in a descending triangle pattern. Bearish